FiveThirtyEight Politics

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

Why Voters Are Down On The Economy, In Their Own Words

For much of Joe Biden’s presidency, political observers have puzzled over a disconnect between economic...

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A Tale Of Two Trump Trials

Former president Donald Trump’s legal saga reached two major milestones last week. In Manhattan, former...

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538's New Polling Averages Show Close Presidential Race

The 538 presidential general election polling averages are officially live! That means no more poll-by-poll...

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Are Mike Johnson’s Days Numbered?

After months of conflict over whether or how to aid American allies abroad, the House passed a slate...

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In Trump Trial, Jury Selection Is Part Politics

The jury selection process is still underway in former President Donald Trump's Manhattan criminal trial....

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The Political Stakes Of Trump's First Trial

Monday marked the start of the first-ever criminal trial of a former president. The case — one of...

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What's Up With The Kids These Days?

In the 2020 election, young voters were key to President Joe Biden’s victory. Biden won voters age...

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Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender

On this solar eclipse day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew tests their polling knowledge...

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Where Will People Commune In A Godless America?

Americans are becoming less religious and two new surveys out just last week punctuate just how quickly...

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The Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity Contest

In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen and the crew talk about air travel and how Americans...

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Are US Politics Undergoing A Racial Realignment?

A handful of recent polls and election results indicate that American politics may be undergoing a racial...

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Is An Election Vibe Shift Underway?

Is the presidential election undergoing a vibe shift? At the beginning of the month, former President...

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538 Debate Club: Should TikTok Be Banned?

Last week, the House of Representatives passed a bipartisan bill that would ban TikTok unless its owner,...

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How Worried Should Democrats Be About The Polls?

The presidential candidates are trying to crowd us out of the polling analysis business with their own...

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Do Campaign Stops Actually Matter?

After Tuesday’s primaries, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have mathematically...

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Does Gen Z Really Care More About That Viral TikTok Than Politics?

The general election has begun in earnest and in this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew...

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A Very Political State Of The Union

In this late night installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to President Biden's State...

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Super Tuesday Brings A Couple Surprises

In a late-night podcast, the crew reacts to the Super Tuesday results, including a win by former U.N....

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What To Watch For On Super Tuesday

Super Tuesday is upon us. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew previews what we...

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What To Make Of The Protest Votes In Michigan

The Michigan primary resulted in easy victories for both former president Donald Trump and President...

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After South Carolina Loss, What Is Nikki Haley's Plan?

In a late-night edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to former President Donald Trump's...

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Foreign Policy Has Become A Family Feud

Both Democrats and Republicans are facing intraparty conflict over foreign policy, Democrats over the...

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What Comes Next In Trump's Trials

This Presidents Day installment of the 538 Politics podcast grapples with a central question in the...

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Democrats Notch A Win In The Battle For The Suburbs

In this late-night installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew breaks down the results of the...

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