FiveThirtyEight Politics

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

How The Polls Did In 2024

Election Day was a moment of truth for pollsters. After high-profile misses in 2016 and 2020, and with...

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What Americans Expect From Trump's Second Term

We are beginning to get a clearer view of what a second Trump administration might look like. President-elect...

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A 'Realignment' Among Latino Voters

Latino voters made a big jump to the right this election cycle. While the numbers aren’t final, AP...

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The Best And Worst Post-Election Hot Takes

Since Election Day, there’s been no shortage of hot takes explaining what happened and what it all...

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Donald Trump Wins The Presidency

In this late-night, election-night edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the results...

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An Hour-By-Hour Guide To Election Night

At long last, Election Day is upon us. In this final pre-results episode, the crew shares a guide for...

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The Pollercoaster Takes A Final Plunge

Polls were coming in hot and heavy over the weekend! In fact, 164 surveys were entered into the 538...

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Galen’s Cauldron Of Queries

It’s not just election season; it’s spooky season, too. In this Halloween installment of the 538...

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Will 2024 Be A Disputed Election?

Looking back on the 2020 election, the time between Election Day and Inauguration Day stands out as...

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Do Voters Care About Democracy?

Last week, John Kelly, former President Donald Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff, said Trump...

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The Most Valuable Data Point

We are awash in data. As Election Day draws near, and new polls continue to pile up, our information...

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How the Diploma Divide Took Over Our Politics

For decades, Republicans were thought of as the country club set, while Democrats were the party of...

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A New Kind Of Undecided Voter

With Election Day just two weeks away, Republicans and Democrats are zeroing in on undecided voters....

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A 538 Election Road Trip

We talk plenty about the presidential race on the 538 Politics podcast, but of course, that is not the...

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Weighting For Election Day

With three weeks until Election Day, the 538 crew analyzes the state of what remains an extremely close...

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The Battle For The Airwaves

For those in swing states, political ads are an inescapable part of life. But if you haven’t experienced...

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Beneath A Steady Race, A Shifting America

There is officially less than a month until Election Day. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast,...

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Vance Performed Well In VP Debate. Will It Matter?

The crew reacts to the first and only vice-presidential debate between Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Ohio...

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In A Topsy-Turvy World, The Candidates Stick To These Three Issues

There's a lot going on in the world as we head into the final stretch of the 2024 election: a devastating...

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How To Read Polls In 2024

We are in the frantic final weeks of the presidential campaign, which means Americans are obsessing...

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Is Trump Losing His Electoral College Advantage?

As early voting kicks off in states across the country, the crew dives into an intensifying election...

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Has Harris Changed The Election For Black Voters?

Earlier this year, it seemed like the long-standing pattern of Black voters as steadfast Democrats was...

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Gen Z’s Historic Gender Gap

The U.S. Secret Service thwarted another apparent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump...

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Harris Trolls Defensive Trump In Debate

The crew reacts to the first presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President...

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